Through Google, Donald Trump, launched an attack on China via Huawei, imposing a ban on future use of the Android mobile operating system; the latter responding by simply saying “bring it on”.
Move awhile from political thought and think corporate and market strategy; it may not have been a well thought out move by Trump Google, as it only reveals a limitation in “the art of war”, whose object is control not elimination.
There are two strategy board games whose studying will reveal simple insights into the trade war between the United States of America (USA) and China – Go and Chess.
Go, a Chinese game founded 2,500 years ago, is an abstract strategy board game for two players, in whose aim is to surround more territory than the opponent. Chess is also a strategy game with more pieces and extravagant moves, whose aim is to eliminate the opponent.
Like Trump Google, the methods of Chess are inclined to Brinkmanship, and like the counter responses of China Huawei the methods of Go are inclined to Cunctation. More on that later!
Who is Huawei? Huawei is third smartphone manufacturer in the world. Founded in 1987 by a military officer and engineer, Ren Zhengfei, the company has grown to be the manufacturer of smartphones that have shipped over 200 million in recent counts.
(SMCP) Currently the third largest smartphone vendor worldwide behind Samsung and Apple, Huawei increased its global smartphone market share to 14.7 per cent last year, compared with Apple's 14.9 per cent and Samsung at 20.9 per cent, according to a report by industry researcher IDC in January.
Huawei’s vision statement is simply “Bring digital to every person, home and organisation for a fully connected, intelligent world.” They are achieving this with the aid of their state-enablers that is not going down well with their opponents as much as those of the state.
For decades, the Chinese smartphone manufacturer has occupied territory after territory in a somewhat passive manner, expanding interests in not only smartphones, but enterprise networking, intelligent systems, just to name a few.
In recent years included the acquisition of chip manufacturing business that then allows them not to depend on American chips for their phones.
The Indian media, NDTV.com wrote "At the same time, the US Commerce Department announced an effective ban on American companies selling or transferring US technology to Huawei."
"The current practice of US politicians underestimates our strength," Ren Zhengfei.
"Huawei's 5G will absolutely not be affected. In terms of 5G technologies, others won't be able to catch up with Huawei in two or three years," he said.
The fight that Trump Google has escalated also affects other industries, for example the telecommunications equipment manufacturing industry, where Huawei is a global giant.
Telecomlead.com reports that "Huawei had captured 28 percent share of the global telecom equipment market in 2018".
The top five telecoms equipment manufacturers in the world are Huawei, Nokia, Ericsson, Cisco, and ZTE; the latter being Chinese as well.
An attack on Huawei is an attack on some industries that Donald Trump had not thought through, hence why Ren Zhengfei said “bring it on” per se.
Back to Chess and Go!
Most that are taught to play Chess have conquermental DNA in them that says “bulldoze, take it all, eliminate, total destruction”, whose sources are Brinkmanship. Brinkmanship is basically bringing things to boiling point, or pushing to the wall until someone breaks.
On the other hand, most that are taught to play Go have a domineering DNA in them that says “occupy, infiltrate, transform, total establishment”, whose sources are a careful fusion of Cunctation and Brinkmanship. Cunctation is simply the action of delaying or putting off doing something.
In the case of the Trade War between China and USA, the president of the United States seems to throw more punches than his Chinese counterpart, who is focussed more on just continuing his commerce territorial objectives.
In a review, FT.com wrote "the US move to put Huawei on its co-called Entity List is a serious miscalculation".
At the end of the day, the object of war must be victory and never lengthy campaigns, tantrums, and so forth; profit must be made, and trade surpluses recorded for nations that have the will power to forge their agenda on a global platform.
Several documentaries and leadership books mention the use of The Art of War, an ancient Chinese strategy book by General Sun Tzu, in military training at the America Military Academy.
It is not advisable to go to war without really thinking it through.
Sun Tzu says “The general who wins the battle makes many calculations in his temple before the battle is fought. The general who loses makes but few calculations beforehand.”
Donald Trump may need to go for coffee with Darryl Williams, head of the military academy, to at least have a refresher course on war, especially on how to think things through before throwing tantrums to one that was just simulating their weakness in order to give false confidence to their opponent.
As Sun Tzu says, “Simulated disorder postulates perfect discipline; simulated fear postulates courage; simulated weakness postulates strength”, something in the air says China has been waiting for such American moves, and Donald Trump, plays right into them.
The ink has not even dried on the 2016 election audit report, Trump goes straight to opening another can of worms, whose result will be an obvious truce.